Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.205161 0.231641 0.259682 0.291532 0.326645 0.364114 0.407061
2025-07-20 0.173966 0.210401 0.251202 0.300075 0.356810 0.420375 0.496750
2025-07-27 0.148498 0.190740 0.240391 0.302621 0.378052 0.466025 0.575847
2025-08-03 0.131133 0.177713 0.234854 0.309347 0.403050 0.516105 0.661817
2025-08-10 0.118090 0.168014 0.231660 0.317584 0.429234 0.567962 0.751726
2025-08-17 0.103656 0.154571 0.221917 0.315897 0.441782 0.602513 0.820838
2025-08-24 0.092227 0.143723 0.214214 0.315625 0.455272 0.638005 0.891852
2025-08-31 0.082374 0.133891 0.206745 0.314595 0.466980 0.670940 0.960155
2025-09-07 0.076118 0.128547 0.204899 0.320853 0.488460 0.717293 1.047641
2025-09-14 0.069014 0.121118 0.199256 0.320962 0.500855 0.751261 1.119069
2025-09-21 0.062845 0.114472 0.194110 0.321175 0.512997 0.784899 1.190790
2025-09-28 0.057332 0.108294 0.189085 0.321011 0.524225 0.817271 1.261444
2025-10-05 0.053072 0.103933 0.186774 0.325154 0.542526 0.861244 1.351453
2025-10-12 0.050135 0.101542 0.187396 0.333833 0.568009 0.916582 1.459844
2025-10-19 0.046290 0.097137 0.184308 0.336244 0.583734 0.957861 1.548860
2025-10-26 0.043650 0.094644 0.184196 0.343394 0.607074 1.011256 1.657491
2025-11-02 0.041522 0.092883 0.185161 0.352281 0.633435 1.070021 1.775921
2025-11-09 0.037924 0.087897 0.180022 0.350377 0.642002 1.101388 1.853386
2025-11-16 0.034905 0.083727 0.175996 0.350047 0.652963 1.136651 1.937684
2025-11-23 0.032062 0.079607 0.171709 0.348905 0.662342 1.169511 2.018992
2025-11-30 0.030468 0.077944 0.171897 0.355728 0.685430 1.224945 2.137278
2025-12-07 0.028209 0.074591 0.168558 0.355841 0.696821 1.261615 2.226586
2025-12-14 0.026157 0.071470 0.165418 0.356071 0.708300 1.298636 2.317320